Further Election Indications. With the Star reporting that the PM has called on UMNO party members to get ready for the general election, we believe our long held view of an early 2011 polls will indeed become reality. Given the history of pre-election rallies, we maintain our year-end KLCI target of 1496 pts and 2011 KLCI fair value of 1648 pts even as we caution on the 3Q results to be announced in November. We are particularly positive on the Construction, Property and O&G sectors as part of the election theme. With the Sarawakian state election possibly being held in 2010 and the general election before June 2011, any weakness in the local bourse in November is a cue to Buy.

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The Edge Property Excellence Awards, the TPDA established in 2003 ranks the country’s best property players from the consumer’s perspective for their quantitative and qualitative attributes. In 2010, the award was given on the 7th October during The Edge Property Excellence Awards 2010 event.

The “quantitative” elements were the companies’ shareholders’ funds, revenue, pre-tax profit and net gearing for the fiscal year ended 2009.

The “qualitative” attributes include the quality of the product, innovation and creativity, value creation for buyers, image and expertise. Deloitte Malaysia audited the tabulation of both the quantitative and qualitative results.

Below are the list of companies that received the award.

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While the fundamental outlook remains pretty much unchanged, we do note that the positive news flow surrounding the sector has been accelerating of late. We believe this will help further re-rate valuations of contractors upwards. Implementation of the mega projects under the ETP should serve to maintain the momentum of positive news flow. In short, we think there is potential for some irrational exuberance to set in. News flow aside, the 59.4% increase in domestic contact awards will serve to drive earnings growth over the next few years. With the KLCON now trading at its long term average of 15x, we see further room for rerating, potentially up to one standard deviation above mean (μ+1σ) level of 19.3x.

We are upgrading our sector call from Neutral back to OVERWEIGHT as we expect the positive news flow in the coming months to rerate valuations upwards. Our top picks are Mudajaya (BUY, TP: RM7.22) and Sunway (BUY, TP: RM2.52). Both our top picks are backed by strong earnings growth with a 3 year CAGRf of 33-37%. For the small caps, we like Ahmad Zaki (BUY, TP: RM1.27) which has witnessed very strong orderbook wins over the past 12 months. We also like Gamuda (TRADING BUY, TP: RM4.31) for the euphoric MRT play. In our view, investors should position themselves for the thematic Sarawak play fuelled by the upcoming state elections; pick Naim Holdings (BUY, TP: RM5.10).

Below are the target price for construction sector.

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In the 2Q2010 period, RM5.4bn worth of construction jobs was awarded, with domestic contracts totaling RM3.4bn (+80% q-o-q, +26% y-o-y) and foreign ones at RM2bn (+103% qo-q, +47% y-o-y). The increase in domestic jobs was driven by more awards, PFI jobs and higher private sector projects. Sarawak-based jobs also surged strongly by 74%. We believe the positive news flow is likely to be tempered by implementation delays, tight Govt coffers and a lower physical portion under the 10MP. Maintain NEUTRAL.

The KLCON is trading at 15x forward earnings, which is equal to its long term mean. We do not see a significant rerating occurring anytime soon. We believe that the bulls of more positive news flow will overwhelmed by the bears in the form of implementation delays, tightening Govt coffers and lower physical portion of development expenditure under the 10MP. Nonetheless, we continue to see value in some mid cap names such as Mudajaya (BUY,TP: RM7.33) and Sunway (BUY, TP: RM2.22). For small cap plays, we like Ahmad Zaki (BUY,TP: RM1.33).

Below are the target price for construction sector.

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